Youth Employment Recovery in the Post-Covid-19 Economy: The Potential Role of Education and Training

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.25159/2663-6549/10699

Keywords:

COVID-19, Economy, Education, South Africa, Unemployment, Youth

Abstract

South Africa has one of the highest reported rates of youth unemployment coupled with poverty and inequality in the world. These challenges have recently been worsened by the impact of the Covid-19 crisis on the economy. Unemployment rates have remained stubbornly high in the country and have been a consistent concern for government and policymakers. In light of the South African Economic Reconstruction and Recovery Plan, the purpose of this paper is to analyse South African youth employment recovery in the post-Covid-19 economy. In particular, this paper analyses the potential role of education and training in the recovery of youth employment. Document analysis and a critical literature review were conducted to address the objective of this paper. In the research that informed this paper, firstly, a Google search was conducted to obtain relevant documents and publications on the South African Economic Reconstruction and Recovery Plan. Secondly, a comprehensive literature search across 10 scholarly databases was conducted to obtain relevant recently published articles. Documents and scholarly articles were analysed through thematic analysis. The results indicate that Covid-19 has contributed to the overall surge in job losses. However, the impact of the pandemic on youth unemployment itself is minimal, as youth unemployment was already high in the pre-Covid-19 economy. Further results show that addressing youth unemployment largely depends on economic growth. In particular, “appropriate” education and training, as part of the recovery plan, can play a key role in economic growth stimulation and job creation. These results call for collaborative efforts from different stakeholders, not only to implement programmes and policies that contribute to economic growth, but also to develop an education system that addresses the labour market needs.

References

Allegretto, S.A. 2013. “US Youth: A Lost Generation in the Making?” Intereconomics 48 (5): 323–324. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-013-0475-6. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-013-0475-6

Aminu, A. 2019. “Characterising Graduate Unemployment in Nigeria as Education-job Mismatch Problem.” African Journal of Economic Review 7 (2): 113–130.

Assunção Flores, M., and M. Gago. 2020. “Teacher Education in Times of Covid-19 Pandemic in Portugal: National, Institutional and Pedagogical Responses.” Journal of Education for Teaching 46 (4): 507–516. https://doi.org/10.1080/02607476.2020.1799709. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02607476.2020.1799709

Ayllón, S., and N. N. Ferreira-Batista. 2018. “Unemployment, Drugs and Attitudes among European Youth.” Journal of Health Economics 57: 236–248. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2017.08.005. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2017.08.005

Baah-Boateng, W. 2014, November. “Youth Employment Challenges in Africa: Policy Options and Agenda for Future Research.” Paper presented at the plenary of the AERC biannual conference, Lusaka, Zambia, Vol. 30.

Balwanz, D. 2012. “Youth Skills Development, Informal Employment and the Enabling Environment in Kenya: Trends and Tensions.” Journal of International Cooperation in Education 15 (2): 69–91.

Bhattacharyya, E., and A. B. M. Sarip. 2014. “Learning Style and its Impact in Higher Education and Human Capital Needs.” Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences 123: 485–494. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2014.01.1448. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2014.01.1448

Bless, C., C. Higson-Smith, and L. Sithole. 1995. Social Research Methods: An African Perspective, 5th edition. Cape Town: Juta.

Bowen, G. A. 2009. “Document Analysis as a Qualitative Research Method.” Qualitative Research Journal 9 (2): 27–40. https://doi.org/10.3316/QRJ0902027. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3316/QRJ0902027

Braun, V., and V. Clarke. 2006. “Using Thematic Analysis in Psychology.” Qualitative Research in Psychology 3 (2): 77–101. https://doi.org/10.1191/1478088706qp063oa. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1191/1478088706qp063oa

Caporale, G. M., and L. A. Gil‐Alana. 2018. “Unemployment in Africa: A Fractional Integration Approach.” South African Journal of Economics 86 (1): 76–81. https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12178. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12178

Chibba, M., and J. M. Luiz. 2011. “Poverty, Inequality and Unemployment in South Africa: Context, Issues and the Way Forward.” Economic Papers: A Journal of Applied Economics and Policy 30 (3): 307–315. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1759-3441.2011.00129.x. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1759-3441.2011.00129.x

Clarke, K., J. Borlagdan, and S. Mallett. 2020. Young People and Vocational Education and Training (VET). http://hdl.voced.edu.au/10707/563064.

Drosos, N., M. Theodoroulakis, A. S. Antoniou, and I. C. Rajter. 2021. “Career Services in the Post‐Covid‐19 Era: A Paradigm for Career Counseling Unemployed Individuals.” Journal of Employment Counseling 58 (1): 36–48. https://doi.org/10.1002/joec.12156. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/joec.12156

Enfield, S. 2021. Covid-19 Impact on Employment and Skills for the Labour Market. https://doi.org/10.19088/K4D.2021.081. DOI: https://doi.org/10.19088/K4D.2021.081

Escudero, V., and E. López Mourelo. 2017. “The European Youth Guarantee: A Systematic Review of its Implementation Across Countries.” ILO Working Papers, 21.

Fenga, L., and S. Son-Turan. 2020. Forecasting Youth Unemployment in the Aftermath of the Covid-19 Pandemic: The Italian Case. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-74374/v1. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-74374/v1

Francis, D., and E. Webster. 2019. “Poverty and Inequality in South Africa: Critical Reflections.” Development Southern Africa 36 (6): 788–802. https://doi.org/10.1080/0376835X.2019.1666703. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/0376835X.2019.1666703

Hage, J. 2017. “Human Capital.” The Wiley‐Blackwell Encyclopedia of Social Theory, 1–2. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118430873.est0173. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118430873.est0173

Haren, P., and D. Simchi-Levi. 2020. “How Coronavirus Could Impact the Global Supply Chain by Mid-March.” Harvard Business Review. Accessed October 7, 2021. https://hbr.org/2020/02/how-coronavirus-could-impact-theglobal-supply-chain-by-mid-march.

Harry, T., W. T. Chinyamurindi, and T. Mjoli. 2018. “Perceptions of Factors that Affect Employability amongst a Sample of Final-year Students at a Rural South African University.” SA Journal of Industrial Psychology 44 (1): 1–10. https://doi.org/10.4102/sajip.v44i0.1510. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4102/sajip.v44i0.1510

Hayek, M., C. H. Thomas, M. M. Novicevic, and D. Montalvo. 2016. “Contextualizing Human Capital Theory in a Non-Western Setting: Testing the Pay-for-performance Assumption.” Journal of Business Research 69 (2): 928–935. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.06.039 . DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.06.039

Inanc, H. 2020. “Breaking down the Numbers: What Does Covid-19 Mean for Youth Unemployment.” Mathematica Policy Research 3: 1–22.

International Labour Organisation (ILO). 2021. “Unemployment Rate: ILO Modelled Estimates, July 2020.” https://ilostat.ilo.org/resources/concepts-and-definitions/ilo-modelled-estimates/.

Kapoor, R. 2020. “Covid-19 and the State of India’s Labour Market.” ICRIER Policy Series 18 (1): 1–7.

Lambovska, M., B. Sardinha, and J. Belas Jr. 2021. “Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Youth Unemployment in the European Union.” Ekonomicko-manazerske Spektrum 15 (1): 55–63. https://doi.org/10.26552/ems.2021.1.55-63. DOI: https://doi.org/10.26552/ems.2021.1.55-63

Mago, S. 2018. “Urban Youth Unemployment in South Africa: Socio-Economic and Political Problems.” Commonwealth Youth and Development 16 (1). https://doi.org/10.25159/2663-6549/1996. DOI: https://doi.org/10.25159/2663-6549/1996

Mahadea, D., and J. Kaseeram. 2018. “Impact of Unemployment and Income on Entrepreneurship in Post-apartheid South Africa: 1994–2015.” The Southern African Journal of Entrepreneurship and Small Business Management 10 (1): 1–9. https://doi.org/10.4102/sajesbm.v10i1.115. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4102/sajesbm.v10i1.115

Maskaeva, A., and M. Msafiri. 2021. “Youth Unemployment Hysteresis in South Africa: Macro-micro Analysis (No. 2021/20).” WIDER Working Paper. https://doi.org/10.35188/UNU-WIDER/2021/954-9. DOI: https://doi.org/10.35188/UNU-WIDER/2021/954-9

Mayhew, K., and P. Anand. 2020. “Covid-19 and the UK Labour Market.” Oxford Review of Economic Policy 36 (Supplement_1): S215–S224. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/graa017. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/graa017

Mok, K. H., and A. M. Wu. 2016. “Higher Education, Changing Labour Market and Social Mobility in the Era of Massification in China.” Journal of Education and Work 29 (1): 77–97. https://doi.org/10.1080/13639080.2015.1049028. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13639080.2015.1049028

Mok, K. H., W. Xiong, and H. Ye. 2021. “Covid-19 Crisis and Challenges for Graduate Employment in Taiwan, Mainland China and East Asia: A Critical Review of Skills Preparing Students for Uncertain Futures.” Journal of Education and Work 34 (3): 247–261. https://doi.org/10.1080/13639080.2021.1922620. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13639080.2021.1922620

Mokona, H., K. Yohannes, and G. Ayano. 2020. “Youth Unemployment and Mental Health: Prevalence and Associated Factors of Depression among Unemployed Young Adults in Gedeo Zone, Southern Ethiopia.” International Journal of Mental Health Systems 14 (1): 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13033-020-00395-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13033-020-00395-2

Momen, M. A., S. H. B. Shahriar, N. Naher, and N. Nowrin. 2022. “Unemployment during the recent Covid-19 Pandemic: Exploring the Perspective of Fresh Graduates from a Developing Nation.” Economics and Business 36 (1): 105–119. https://doi.org/10.2478/eb-2022-0007. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/eb-2022-0007

Mseleku, Z. 2022. “Youth High Unemployment/Unemployability in South Africa: The Unemployed Graduates’ Perspectives.” Higher Education, Skills and Work-Based Learning 12 (4): 775–790. https://doi.org/10.1108/HESWBL-06-2021-0114. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/HESWBL-06-2021-0114

Mudiriza, G., and A. de Lannoy. 2021. “Youth in the Time of a Global Pandemic: An Analysis of Recent Data on Young People’s Experiences during Covid-19.” In Youth in South Africa: (In)visibility and National Development, 187. https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctv2z6qdwp.15. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctv2z6qdwp.15

Mzungulu, A., and B. Ndzendze. 2021. “Alleviating Unemployment in South Africa: Harnessing Comparative Advantage in the Services Sector.” The Thinker 88 (3): 18–30. https://doi.org/10.36615/thethinker.v88i3.599. DOI: https://doi.org/10.36615/thethinker.v88i3.599

Niyimbanira, F. 2017. “Analysis of the Impact of Economic Growth on Income Inequality and Poverty in South Africa: The Case of Mpumalanga Province.” International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues 7 (4): 254–261.

Orrell, B., M. M. Bishop, and J. Hawkins. 2020. “A Road Map to Reemployment in the Covid-19 Economy.” American Enterprise Institute.

Pharr, J. R., S. Moonie, and T. J. Bungum. 2012. “The Impact of Unemployment on Mental and Physical Health, Access to Healthcare and Health Risk Behaviors.” International Scholarly Research Notices 2012. https://doi.org/10.5402/2012/483432. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5402/2012/483432

Ranchhod, V., and R. C. Daniels. 2020. “Labour Market Dynamics in South Africa in the Time of Covid-19: Evidence from Wave 1 of the NIDS-CRAM Survey.” https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12283.

Ranchhod, V., and R. C. Daniels. 2021. “Labour Market Dynamics in South Africa at the Onset of the Covid‐19 Pandemic.” South African Journal of Economics 89 (1): 44–62. https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12283. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12283

Rapley, T. 2018. Doing conversation, discourse and document analysis. Doing Conversation, Discourse and Document Analysis: 1–176. https://doi.org/10.4135/9781526441843. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4135/9781526441843

Rizun, M., and A. Strzelecki. 2020. “Students’ Acceptance of the Covid-19 Impact on Shifting Higher Education to Distance Learning in Poland.” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 17 (18): 6468. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17186468. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17186468

Scarpetta, S., A. Sonnet, and T. Manfredi. 2010. “Rising YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT during the Crisis: How to Prevent Negative Long-term Consequences on a Generation?”

Seggie, Janet. 2012. “Alcohol and South Africa’s Youth.” SAMJ: South African Medical Journal 102 (7): 587–587. https://doi.org/10.7196/SAMJ.6003. DOI: https://doi.org/10.7196/SAMJ.6003

Shahriar, M. S., K. M. Islam, N. M. Zayed, K. Hasan, and T. S. Raisa. 2021. “The Impact of Covid-19 on Bangladesh’s Economy: A Focus on Graduate Employability.” The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business 8 (3): 1395–1403.

South African Economic Reconstruction and Recovery Plan, 2020. Accessed September 24, 2021. https://www.gov.za/sites/default/files/gcis_document/202010/south-african-economic-reconstruction-and-recovery-plan.pdf.

Statistics South Africa. 2021. “Quarterly Employment Statistics. September 2021.” Pretoria.

Tamesberger, D., and J. Bacher. 2020. “Covid-19 Crisis: How to Avoid a ‘Lost Generation’.” Intereconomics 55: 232–238. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-020-0908-y. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-020-0908-y

Tosun, J., O. Treib, and F. de Francesco. 2019. “The Impact of the European Youth Guarantee on Active Labour Market Policies: A Convergence Analysis.” International Journal of Social Welfare 28 (4): 358–368. https://doi.org/10.1111/ijsw.12375. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ijsw.12375

United Nations. 2020. “UNDP/Socio-Economic Impact of Covid-19 in South Africa 2020.” Accessed September 30, 2021. https://southafrica.un.org/en/104644-undpsocio-economic-impact-covid-19-south-africa-2020.

Vespignani, J. L., and M. B. Yanotti. 2020. “Covid-19 and Tasmanian Youth Unemployment: A Policy Recommendation.” https://figshare.utas.edu.au/articles/report/COVID-19_and_Tasmanian_youth_unemployment_a_policy_recommendation/23250437.

Winters, J. V. 2014. “STEM Graduates, Human Capital Externalities, and Wages in the US.” Regional Science and Urban Economics 48: 190–198. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2014.07.003. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2014.07.003

Published

2023-07-21

How to Cite

Mseleku, Zethembe. 2022. “Youth Employment Recovery in the Post-Covid-19 Economy: The Potential Role of Education and Training”. Commonwealth Youth and Development 20 (2):18 pages . https://doi.org/10.25159/2663-6549/10699.

Issue

Section

Articles
Received 2022-02-08
Accepted 2023-07-07
Published 2023-07-21