Unravelling the US-ROK Alliance: Decoding North Korea’s Strategy within the Six-Party Talks

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.25159/2663-6689/11801

Keywords:

US-South Korea Alliance, negotiations, North Korea, entrapment, Six-Party Talks, nuclear programme

Abstract

Alliance formation is a calculated decision by parties to determine and affect the outcome of negotiations. Its success depends on several factors, most notably alliance members’ cohesion and convergence of common interests, objectives, and tactics. The focus here is on the United States and South Korea’s alliance during the Six-Party Talks on North Korea’s nuclear programme. Despite early progress in the alliance’s favour, the internal cohesion of the US-South Korea alliance was disrupted due to divergent interests, approaches, and positions regarding North Korea. This research provides a comprehensive analysis of the US-ROK alliance’s impact on the Six-Party Talks. While previous studies have explored the negotiations, little attention has been given to the alliance’s role and how it evolved over time, especially in the context of North Korea’s manipulation and its consequences on negotiation outcomes. We assess the success of the alliance and its impact on the negotiation process, considering factors such as cohesion, common interests, objectives, and tactics. Our study adopts a qualitative research approach, utilising an extensive review of relevant literature, official documents, historical records, and primary sources from the Six-Party Talks. The findings underscore the importance of robust and well-coordinated alliances in addressing critical global security challenges. To achieve lasting success in future negotiations, it is imperative for allied parties to forge a shared understanding and strategic convergence in dealing with adversaries like North Korea. Moreover, this research calls for a re-evaluation of alliance dynamics and tactics to strengthen the collective resolve in pursuing international peace and security.

Author Biography

Ian Fleming Zhou, University of Pretoria

Ian Fleming Zhou is the Chairman of the International Association for Political Science Students
(IAPSS) Research Committee on Conflict Security and Crime. He is also currently a member of the
Youth for Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization and the Editor in Chief of IAPSS’
journal, A Different View. His areas of research are nuclear diplomacy, cybersecurity, foreign policy,
international security, and tactics in negotiations. He is currently associated with the Department of Political Sciences, Unisa, Pretoria, South Afirca. 

References

Bae, J. 2010. “South Korean Strategic Thinking toward North Korea: The Evolution of the Engagement.” Asian Survey 50 (2): 335–355. https://doi.org/10.1525/as.2010.50.2.335. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1525/as.2010.50.2.335

Boyatzis, R. E. 1998. Transforming Qualitative Information: Thematic Analysis and Code Development. London. Sage.

Brockner, J. 1992. “The Escalation of Commitment to a Failing Course of Action: Toward Theoretical Progress.” Academy of Management Review 17 (1): 39–61. https://doi.org/10.2307/258647. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5465/amr.1992.4279568

Buszynski, L. 2013. Negotiating with North Korea: The Six-Party Talks and the Nuclear Issue. New York, USA. Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203694190. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203694190

Cha, V. 2004. “Korea: A Peninsula in Crisis and Flux.” In Strategic Asia 2004–2005: Confronting Terrorism in the Pursuit of Power, edited by A. Tellis and M. Wills, 139–142. Seattle: The National Bureau of Asian Research.

Cha, V. 2011. “‘Rhee-Straint’: The Origins of the US-ROK Alliance.” International Journal of Korean Studies 15 (1): 1–15.

Gruder, C. 1970. “Social Power in Interpersonal Negotiation.” In The Structure of Conflict, edited by P. Swingle, 111–154. New York. Academic Press.

Grzelczyk, V. 2009. “Six-Party Talks and Negotiation Strategy: When Do We Get there?” International Negotiation 14 (1): 95–119. https://doi.org/10.1163/157180609X406535. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1163/157180609X406535

Habeeb, W. 1988. Power and Tactics in International Negotiation. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.

Hopmann, T. 1996. The Negotiation Process and the Resolution of International Conflicts. Columbia: University of South Carolina Press.

Jeong, H. 2016. International Negotiation: Process and Strategies. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139207713. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139207713

Kim, S. 2010. “China’s Conflict-Management Approach to the Nuclear Standoff on the Korean Peninsula.” In Conflict Prevention and Management in Northeast Asia: The Korean Peninsula and Taiwan Strait in Comparison, edited by N. Swanström, S. Ledberg, and A. Forss, 105–132. Cambridge: Cambridge Scholars Publishing.

Klingner, B. 2012. “Deny, Deceive, and Delay: North Korea's Nuclear Negotiating Strategy.” The Journal of East Asian Affairs 26 (2): 1–24.

Lee, M. 2008. Address to The Korea Society 2008 Annual Dinner, 15 April. . http://www.koreasociety.org/dmdocuments/20080415-LeeMyungBak-English.pdf. Accessed April 9, 2017.

Meerts, P. 2005. “Entrapment in International Negotiations.” In Escalation and Negotiation in International Conflicts, edited by W. Zartman and G. Faure, 111–140. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511550584.005. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511550584.005

Moon, C. 2008. “Diplomacy of Defiance and Facilitation: The Six-Party Talks and the Roo Moo Hyun Government.” Asian Perspective Supplement, Special Issue on North Korea and Regional Security 32 (4): 71–105. https://doi.org/10.1353/apr.2008.0005. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/apr.2008.0005

Moon, C. 2012. “The Six-Party Talks and Implications for a Northeast Asia Nuclear-Weapons-Free Zone.” Nautilus Peace and Security Network Special Report, April. Accessed July 21, 2022. https://nautilus.org/napsnet/napsnet-special-reports/the-six-party-talks-and-implications-for-a-northeast-asia-nuclear-weapons-free-zone/.

Pritchard, C. 2007. “Latest Talks on North Korea ‘Successful’ Due to Major Changes by United States.” Council on Foreign Relations, Interview. 8 August. Accessed July 21, 2022. https://www.cfr.org/interview/pritchard-latest-talks-north-korea-successful-due-major-changes-united-states.

Rozman, G. 2010. “Multilateralism and Pyongyang’s Foreign Policy Strategy.” In New Challenges of North Korean Foreign Policy, edited by K. Park, 131–151. New York: Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230113978_6. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230113978_6

Schneider, J. 2010. The Change toward Cooperation in the George W. Bush Administration’s Nuclear Nonproliferation Policy toward North Korea. Frankfurt: Peter Lang GmbH. https://doi.org/10.3726/978-3-653-00351-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3726/978-3-653-00351-2

Snyder, S. 2009. “Lee Myung-bak’s Foreign Policy: A 250-day Assessment.” The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis 21 (1): 1–30. https://doi.org/10.1080/10163270902745711. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10163270902745711

Tow, W., and S. Limaye. 2016. “What’s China Got to Do with it? US Alliances, Partnerships in the Asia-Pacific.” Asian Policy and Politics 8 (1): 7–26. https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.12228. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.12228

Vogelaar, M. 2008. “South Korea: A 2 X 2 Engagement Approach.” In Ending the North Korean Nuclear Crisis: Six Parties, Six Perspectives, edited by K. de Ceuster and J. Melissen, 49–58. The Hague: Netherlands Institute of International Relations.

Walt, S. 1997. “Why Do Alliances Endure or Collapse?” Survival 39 (1): 156–197. https://doi.org/10.1080/00396339708442901. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00396339708442901

Zartman, W. 2001. Preventive Negotiation: Avoiding Conflict Escalation. New York: Rowman and Littlefield Publishers.

Downloads

Published

2023-10-10

How to Cite

Zhou, Ian Fleming, and Jo-Ansie van Wyk. “Unravelling the US-ROK Alliance: Decoding North Korea’s Strategy Within the Six-Party Talks”. Politeia, 18 pages . https://doi.org/10.25159/2663-6689/11801.

Issue

Section

Articles
Received 2022-07-26
Accepted 2023-08-24
Published 2023-10-10